Understanding Prior Probability in Bayesian Statistics

Learn how prior probability informs economic theory and decision-making in Bayesian statistics. Understand its role before collecting new data.
Scientific American

What is Bayes's theorem, and how can it be used to assign probabilities to questions such as the existence of God? What scientific value does it have?

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...
Inverse

Make Better Decisions With Bayesian Probability, the Smart Way to Consider Risk

It’s estimated that human adults make about 35,000 decisions a day — the percentage of good decisions depends on the adult. These choices can be as banal as deciding to roll or crumple toilet paper or ...
U.S. News & World Report

Bayes' Theorem Definition

Bayes' theorem, also called Bayes' rule or Bayesian theorem, is a mathematical formula used to determine the conditional probability of events. The theorem uses the power of statistics and probability ...
CoinTelegraph

Bitcoin trader say BTC headed toward $125K by New Year’s Even based on ‘Bayesian probability’

Veteran trader Peter Brandt says Bitcoin is following a similar pattern from its past, which could lead to a $125,000 BTC price by New Year’s Eve. Bitcoin (BTC) price entered a strong price discovery ...